Problem: a flaky outbound produces hundreds of false-positive "outbound down"
notifications overnight — each fires the moment xray's observatory reports a
single failed probe, and the next successful probe fires an "up".
applyObservatory forwarded every raw alive:true->false transition straight to
EventOutboundDown; xray's observatory has effectively no hysteresis, and nothing
on the panel side debounced it (the email/Telegram subscribers are pure
formatters).
Fix: debounce per outbound. outbound.down now fires only after
outboundDownThreshold consecutive FAILED probes (new setting, default 3);
outbound.up fires immediately on the first successful probe and only when a down
was actually notified. The threshold gates the event itself, so email and
Telegram share one knob (exposed next to the outbound.down toggle).
The streak counts genuinely new probes (last_try_time advancing), not sampler
polls — the sampler runs every 2s but the observatory re-probes per its
probeInterval, so counting samples would trip the threshold instantly.
outboundDownThreshold=1 reproduces the legacy notify-on-first-failure behaviour.
Tuning the observatory's probe interval/timeout is not a workaround: those
probes also drive the load balancer's outbound selection, so loosening them to
quiet notifications would slow real failover away from a genuinely dead
outbound. Notifications don't need observatory-grade latency, so the tolerance
belongs at the notification layer, leaving the observatory (and balancer)
untouched.
Adds TestApplyObservatoryDebounce covering the threshold, probe-vs-sample
counting, single-blip suppression and the legacy path.
Co-authored-by: Yuriy Khachaturian <y.khachaturian@souzmult.ru>
Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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