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Contract vs cap: #6863 requires a model lockout to honor a VERIFIED upstream quota reset exactly (e.g. Antigravity "Resets in 92h27m28s", shipped in v3.8.47). #7940 requires SYNTHETIC exact-cooldown estimates (the quota_exhausted until-midnight heuristic) to respect the operator's maxCooldownMs so they cannot balloon unbounded. Both are legitimate, non-conflicting contracts — they apply to different kinds of values. Root cause: #7980 (fixing #7940) changed recordModelLockoutFailure() in open-sse/services/accountFallback.ts to unconditionally clamp every exactCooldownMs against maxCooldownMs, with no way to distinguish a verified upstream reset from a synthetic estimate. A real ~92h reset got clamped to the operator's ~30min cap, and the router went on hammering 429 against quota that was known not to recover for days — regressing #6863's contract by omission, not by new policy (the "honor it exactly" docstrings on selectLockoutCooldownMs() and its call sites were left untouched and now describe dead code). Fix: add an opt-in `exactCooldownVerified` flag to recordModelLockoutFailure()'s options. When true, exactCooldownMs bypasses the maxCooldownMs clamp entirely; when false/omitted (the default), behavior is byte-identical to before this change. Set the flag only at the 4 call sites that already carry upstream provenance for the value they pass — usedUpstreamRetryHint / quotaResetHintMs from checkFallbackError(): - open-sse/services/combo.ts (2 sites): exactCooldownVerified mirrors lockoutHintMs > 0, which is only ever nonzero when it traces back to a genuine upstream signal. - src/sse/services/auth.ts (2 sites): exactCooldownVerified mirrors the same usedUpstreamRetryHint / quotaResetHintMs check already used to derive exactCooldownMs at each site. The quota_exhausted → until-midnight synthetic default and plain exponential backoff are untouched and stay capped, per #7940. The two other recordModelLockoutFailure call sites (combo.ts quality failure, auth.ts local-404/grok-web-403) never carry a verified hint and were left unmodified. Validation (TDD): tests/unit/combo-lockout-quota-reset-6863.test.ts red→green with its assertions unchanged (was clamping ~332,848,000ms to ~1,799,995ms; now honors the parsed reset). Added a boundary pair to tests/unit/model-lockout-exact-cooldown-cap.test.ts proving the same magnitude resolves differently by provenance: synthetic stays capped, verified passes through whole. Full existing suite in that file plus combo-model-lockout-honors-reset-1308.test.ts stay green unmodified. Swept 45 lockout/cooldown-adjacent test files (502/505 passing); the 3 failures reproduce byte-identical on a pristine origin/release/v3.8.49 checkout (PROVIDER_BREAKER_FAILURE_STATUSES ReferenceError in untouched chat.ts, and a documented timing-sensitive serial test) — confirmed pre-existing, out of this fix's scope. npm run typecheck:core and npm run lint are clean. Refs #6863 Refs #7940 Refs #7980